دور هامش منحنى العائد في التنبؤ باتجاه النمو الاقتصادي الحقيقي في الجزائر للفترة (2:2007-04:2018)
Keywords:
منحنى العائد، الهامش، نظرية التوقعات، النمو الاقتصادي الحقيقي.Abstract
The purpose of this study is to determine the predictive power of the yield curve towards real economic activity in Algeria over the period 2007-2008, Using the performance curves of the General Directorate of the Algerian Public Treasury and the ARDL model. We found a negative significant between the yield margin and the real economic growth rate, The negative relationship is due to the synchronization of the stagflation phenomenon and the rigidity of the productive system
